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Abstract This Roadmap article provides a succinct, comprehensive overview of the state of electronic structure (ES) methods and software for molecular and materials simulations. Seventeen distinct sections collect insights by 51 leading scientists in the field. Each contribution addresses the status of a particular area, as well as current challenges and anticipated future advances, with a particular eye towards software related aspects and providing key references for further reading. Foundational sections cover density functional theory and its implementation in real-world simulation frameworks, Green’s function based many-body perturbation theory, wave-function based and stochastic ES approaches, relativistic effects and semiempirical ES theory approaches. Subsequent sections cover nuclear quantum effects, real-time propagation of the ES, challenges for computational spectroscopy simulations, and exploration of complex potential energy surfaces. The final sections summarize practical aspects, including computational workflows for complex simulation tasks, the impact of current and future high-performance computing architectures, software engineering practices, education and training to maintain and broaden the community, as well as the status of and needs for ES based modeling from the vantage point of industry environments. Overall, the field of ES software and method development continues to unlock immense opportunities for future scientific discovery, based on the growing ability of computations to reveal complex phenomena, processes and properties that are determined by the make-up of matter at the atomic scale, with high precision. 

While Diffusion Monte Carlo (DMC) is in principle an exact stochastic method for ab initio electronic structure calculations, in practice, the fermionic sign problem necessitates the use of the fixed-node approximation and trial wavefunctions with approximate nodes (or zeros). This approximation introduces a variational error in the energy that potentially can be tested and systematically improved. Here, we present a computational method that produces trial wavefunctions with systematically improvable nodes for DMC calculations of periodic solids. These trial wavefunctions are efficiently generated with the configuration interaction using a perturbative selection made iteratively (CIPSI) method. A simple protocol in which both exact and approximate results for finite supercells are used to extrapolate to the thermodynamic limit is introduced. This approach is illustrated in the case of the carbon diamond using Slater–Jastrow trial wavefunctions including up to one million Slater determinants. Fixed-node DMC energies obtained with such large expansions are much improved, and the fixed-node error is found to decrease monotonically and smoothly as a function of the number of determinants in the trial wavefunction, a property opening the way to a better control of this error. The cohesive energy extrapolated to the thermodynamic limit is in close agreement with the estimated experimental value. Interestingly, this is also the case at the single-determinant level, thus, indicating a very good error cancellation in carbon diamond between the bulk and atomic total fixed-node energies when using single-determinant nodes.